Australian’s have been notorious for their addiction to gambling. Unfortunately, judging by the growth of bookies, it doesn’t seem as though we’re very good at it. This project uses Logistic Regression among other techniques to predict which team would win in a game of AFL. However, to further reduce the human elements involved, our model incorporates the use of a fractional Kelly Criterion to advise on how much we should bet.

“Using the data provided by Sportsbet and CIKM 2015 challenge. We are going to try and maximize winnnings from bet tippings in any given season of AFL. This involves two steps: